Version 3.2

Visualising the social impact of climate adaptation

Degrowth doughnuts as tools for comprehensive transformation communication

Transition of contemporary societies to different energy flows and different distribution of social product – from linear consumption of energy stocks to utilisation of flows and abandonment of the growth hegemony – is necessitated by the biophysical and social tipping points forecast for the multiple crises of the Anthropocene. The transition itself is enabled or precluded by the constraints imposed by the dominant cultural trends, the hegemonic ideology of growth (D’Alisa and Kallis 2016) chief among them. We need models occasioned by a paradigm internally consistent with just and swift metabolic transformation in order to plan strategies and polices, to select the transition pathways through multiple dimensions of biophysical, social and political domains (Cherp et al. 2018; Hanger-Kopp et al. 2019). The causal models provided by contemporary science and serving as foundation of environmental and socio-economic impact studies are based on the premises of the current energy and socio-economic system, and thus disable insights into paradigmatically altered socio-metabolic structures and hegemonic ideologies (Koppelaar et al. 2016; Saltelli and Giampietro 2017). By invoking precedents of paradigm change in scientific worldviews in revolutionary physics of 20th century, this paper presents the mental model and analytic visualisation based on the ‘doughnut economy’ (Raworth 2017). A modification of the doughnut visual (Domazet et al. 2020) that includes socio-cultural boundaries and natural restoration thresholds, within in a principle paradigm that eludes the development-destruction trade-off, depicts impact of a set policies and awareness-raising campaigns in energy and education sectors in Croatia. We illustrate how the degrowth doughnut tool can aid communication of ‘distance to target’ for various realistic adaptation and mitigation measures, and their estimated impact on the status quo.

Info

Day: 2023-09-01
Start time: 10:30
Duration: 00:15
Room: ZV-KC-Cres
Type: Paper Presentation
Theme: Transformational climate politics (METAR)

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